South Carolina Was Not “Tailor-Made” for Ted Cruz: Here’s the Real Cruz Path to Victory

The whole idea of analyzing this race as an establishment vs. anti-establishment battle has been all wrong. That is simply not how voters think. Trump and Cruz are not doing anything new that we haven’t seen before. They are playing out the classic Rockefeller vs. Goldwater conflict that we also just saw play out with Romney vs. Santorum four years ago. Rubio is filling the role of Gingrich, someone who treads the ground between moderate and conservative and can’t quite seem to win any states.

Fox News has been spinning the false narrative that South Carolina was “tailor-made” for Cruz and saying “if he can’t win there, where else can he win?” This is a COMPLETELY MADE-UP FALSE NARRATIVE. It was never a favorable state for Cruz. It was a state where Santorum finished a distant third four years ago, behind more secular candidates Gingrich and Romney. While Cruz does have a real but mostly still untapped potential to appeal to secular voters, the Faux narrative that evangelicals made South Carolina a very favorable state for Cruz is JUST WRONG.

South Carolina went for the most “tough-talking” candidate last time with Gingrich and again this time with Trump. Establishment Romney came in 2nd last time just as Rubio did this time. The conservatives in this state seem to like aggression in a candidate above all else. There also appears to be a solid establishment streak in the state.

To put Trump’s victory in perspective, he got a lower vote total in SC than Gingrich got and a much lower percentage. Cruz and Rubio both performed about as well as Romney and well above Santorum.

Cruz continues to have a path forward to victory because the other Southern states just don’t have the same profile as South Carolina. Santorum won most of the other Southern states last time just like he won Iowa, despite getting trounced in South Carolina much worse than Cruz did. These upcoming states are therefore much more favorable ground for Cruz. If Cruz can win Santorum’s states, he can perhaps gain the momentum to flip some other states Santorum lost (hopefully not wasting any more time in the Romney/Trump home field advantage northeastern states).

For now Cruz is stuck in the “social conservative” lane, a lane which NEVER included South Carolina as fertile ground. This is the lane he needs to perform well in as he works on broadening his base to include national security conservatives, economic conservatives and people who just have faith he can beat the Democrat.

Below is a list of all the states voting in March and how they would vote if they followed the basic pattern Romney and Santorum experienced. While I haven’t tried to count all the delegates they will be handing out, I am seeing 13 Trump states and 16 Cruz states (plus maybe Puerto Rico for amnesty pimp Rubio). For us to see a clear winner in March, either Cruz or Trump will probably need to flip some of these states from their opponent’s predicted column into theirs.

February/March primary states:

Romney won, could go to Trump:
Idaho (I guess?)
Washington, D.C.
Northern Mariana Islands

Santorum won, could go to Cruz:

Gingrich won, could go to Cruz:

Romney won, could go to Rubio:
Puerto Rico

Texas, Arkansas and Kentucky were late May votes last time so they went for Romney, but seem like solid Cruz states.

Virginia only had Romney and Paul on the ballot but it had a huge protest vote against Romney through Paul. North Carolina was also a late Romney state last time so hard to to say where it goes, but perhaps with momentum in the rest of the South Cruz could pick it up. Ohio was a dead heat last time with a tiny Romney victory, but Gingrich also did well there, so I’d say that’s a Cruz-leaning state. Utah was a solid Romney state because Mormons, but polling seems to show Cruz on top there now.

Romney won, could go to Cruz:
North Carolina

Why I Endorse Ted Cruz for President

Ted Cruz is the man our country needs as its next President. What matters in a President more than anything else is having the right values, policies, positions and ideology. To be sure a candidate has those, they need to have a clear, consistent record and not a bunch of flip-flops. Cruz is thoroughly sincere and consistent on favoring a small government, a strong military and Judeo-Christian values. This country has NO future unless it gets its moral house in order. Government has been responsible for much of our moral decay, from the banning of school prayer to Roe vs. Wade to legalizing same-sex marriage. Government therefore must play a large role in restoring our nation’s moral foundation.

The single most important role of a President is appointing Supreme Court justices. Until we pass Constitutional amendments that instill checks on their power, the Supreme Court will continue to hold veto power over the other branches of government. The unconstitutional legislation that the Democrats would unleash if they knew a court packed with liberal justices was ready and waiting to approve it would fundamentally transform our nation in disastrous ways. As a man who’s argued the conservative side of cases before the Supreme Court many times, Ted Cruz is perhaps more qualified than anybody who’s run for President in our lifetimes to identify and appoint strict constructionist justices. I don’t know who the next up-and-coming conservative justices are, but I’m sure Cruz does. Cruz’ unique acuity will extend to appointing lower court judges as well, to our country’s great benefit.

Cruz is a genuinely intelligent man who will easily be able to learn and react to whatever unexpected situations he encounters on the job. He’s also extremely articulate and can be the best communicator for conservative causes since Ronald Reagan. The country is rapidly lurching to the left, as demonstrated by the Democrat party’s steady morph into a socialist/communist entity. We need someone in the highly visible position of the presidency to be a spokesman for the other side if we’re ever going to turn that trend around.

The idea stated by some Donald Trump supporters that having the resume of a businessman is what is needed to be President is a dangerous and illogical one. There are plenty of liberal and Democrat billionaire businessmen out there. Would we want them in charge? Should we draft Michael Bloomberg, John Corzine, Warren Buffett, Bill Gates, Mark Zuckerberg or George Soros to run on the Republican ticket in the next election?

Government itself does not function like a business. A business leader is accustomed to being a dictator of his operation. Bringing that attitude to the White House would lead to an imperial presidency that sidesteps checks and balances, including the role of the “fourth branch,” the media. Trump has treated the media badly and actually bans them from reporting on his Iowa operation. He does not appear to be interested in being held accountable to the media and, by extension, to the public.

A good businessman is fundamentally more of a follower than a leader. They form a successful business by sticking their finger in the wind of public opinion and selling exactly what the public demands. When their sales go down, they quickly make changes if they want to stay in business. This explains why Trump’s political positions have shifted so much before and during his campaign and why, for example, he told Howard Stern that he’s against same-sex marriage but that “he could change his mind.” A presidency that is run by polls instead of on principles means that every campaign promise is in danger of being broken and the Constitution, which requires a higher bar than 50% to amend for a reason, is likewise always in danger.

Ted Cruz has shown himself to be a rare, consistent, conservative voice in government since the beginning of his public life. He is a man who stands on traditional conservative principles and fights for them against all opponents and against all odds. He has proven to be knowledgeable and strong on every single issue. He is qualified for the presidency, he is ready for the presidency and he is right for the presidency. We have been waiting a long time to find a voice that can articulate and restore the bedrock, foundational, conservative principles of the Republican party. Ted Cruz is that man. No one else running will do greater and more important things with the power of the presidency than him.

If Luke was Rey (a.k.a. The Star Wars: A New Hope “Mary Sue” Rewrite)

I present to you the Star Wars: A New Hope “Mary Sue/Marty Stu” rewrite, for the writer who thinks Luke is too human and relatable and should’ve been as perfect, plastic and flawless as Rey. Because boys need role models who are superior to themselves in every way.

  • Luke is an expert survivalist living on his own on Tatooine. He isn’t subservient to Uncle Owen and Aunt Beru. He loyally waits for a lost companion to return.
  • Luke steals R2-D2 from a Sand Person on a Bantha who has captured the droid. The Sand Person just looks at him and rides away.
  • Luke can understand everything R2-D2 says. C-3PO is written out since he’s not needed to translate.
  • R2-D2 follows Luke around obediently instead of running away and generally just thinks Luke’s awesome.
  • Luke finds Obi-Wan and tells him he’s just a nobody and didn’t even know the Force was real. Obi-Wan hands Luke his father’s saber and then disappears from the movie. No training required.
  • Luke experiences a “vision” upon touching the saber for unexplained reasons. Magic lightsaber?
  • Luke enters the Cantina and knocks down Ponda Baba and Dr. Evazan with a stick when they threaten him.
  • Luke finds the Falcon with only Chewie inside as TIE Fighters start bombing the area. He jumps in and flies it with some wild maneuvers through Beggar’s Canyon while Chewie works the gun port. They destroy the TIEs and return to get Han.
  • Chewie is injured while running from Stormtroopers to get to the Falcon and Luke takes over as co-pilot.
  • Luke fixes the Falcon’s malfunctions by himself before Han can figure out what to do.
  • Han is so impressed with Luke that by the time they get to the remains of Alderaan, he offers Luke a permanent job on his crew.
  • They sneak into a back door on the Death Star unnoticed and somehow instantly find Leia’s cell.
  • Luke uses the Jedi Mind Trick on the guards at Leia’s cell to get inside. (First time the Jedi Mind Trick appears in the movie.)
  • Leia says Luke is amazing, thanks him and won’t stop talking about wanting to run away with him and devote herself to helping him. Luke is not interested and says he just wants to be friends.
  • Han somehow instantly finds the head Stormtrooper Commander and says he’ll kill him if he doesn’t shut down the Death Star’s magnetic shields. The Stormtrooper Commander complies and they throw him in the trash compactor.
  • Darth Vader finds the heroes. Luke watches as Han Solo confronts Darth Vader and is killed.
  • Luke attacks Darth Vader and holds his own. He drops his saber but he is able to Force grab it back before Vader can. (First time Force grab is seen in the movie.) Vader offers to train Luke. Luke lands several blows on Vader and cuts off his hand while remaining unscathed and Vader collapses in a heap. Suddenly, there is an explosion that ruptures the platform between them and Luke leaves to join Leia, Chewie and R2 back on the Falcon.
  • Meanwhile, Wedge leads a small squad to do a bombing run on the Death Star. He easily hits the target without facing much resistance or even thinking about it much and the Death Star blows up.
  • Luke officially joins the Rebellion at the end of the movie and is instantly selected to pilot a ship on a vital mission they’ve been waiting years to do. Their best pilot who just blew up the Death Star, Wedge, is passed over.

And there you have it. Star Wars: A New Hope as bland, generic, shallow, Saturday morning cartoon space opera, without depth, meaning, humanity, heart or soul, a.k.a. Star Wars: The Force Awakens.

I’m thinking we’ll cast Arnold Schwarzenegger as Luke and Chris Tucker as Han Solo.